Sunday, March 27, 2016

GROUNDHOG ON PROBATION FOR 20 DAYS AND URGES RESIDENTS NOT TO PLANT ANY FLOWERS OR TENDER PLANTS UNTIL APRIL 15

Judge Spring gave the groundhog a 20 day probation period starting last Tuesday . Judge Spring stated  that by  April 4 there was a chance of extremely below normal weather which would be indicative of winter not being over as demonstrated by the groundhog's actions in February. There is a chance of snow during this 20 day period with overnight lows dipping back into the teens and highs in the upper 20's to low 30's. Judge Spring says cover your plants and watch for extreme freezing weather after April 2.

Monday, March 21, 2016

GROUNDHOG ACQUITTED: JUDGE SPRING SAYS EURO MODELS ARE NOW UNRELIABLE

Well, the title says it all. The storm passed with light flurries and graupel- that's it. The judge says spring has finally arrived but he did state that he was really concerned about the testimony brought forth by Michael Siegel indicating that after April Fools day, the weather was going to be extremely cool, dreary and rainy with a couple of chances of a light snow event with frosts and freeze potentials.

Interviewing the groundhog after the trial, the groundhog reiterates that he is not responsible after the six week forecast period is concluded.We will see.  The groundhog went back into his lair to hopefully get a good rest for next winters prediction. During the interview with the groundhog,  a few disappointed snow weenies were seen trying to gas the groundhogs lair only to escape later. A note was left over the his lair entrance stating, "Wait until we see you on the road" The groundhog had no comments about the situation and appeared to shrug it off as a prank.

Friday, March 18, 2016

GROUNDHOG TRIAL CONTINUES: PICTURE OF GROUNDHOG MUGSHOTS ARE FINALLY RELEASED

The groundhog trial recessed this afternoon to be continued to Monday morning. His mugshots were finally released today as seen below. Atty Noaa stated that the current US modeling evidence only shows a nuisance type snow event of 3-5 inches. Atty Noaa says the Euro model was recently revamped a few weeks ago and has severely presented a wrongful and unfair picture of his clients prediction made back on Feb 2 of 2016. Atty Noaa has requested a summary judgement for his client to be released based on the most recent GFS model runs submitted as evidence.  Judge Spring said he will make his final ruling on Monday morning


TRIAL UPDATE: THE GROUNDHOG'S ATTORNEY SAYING THE EURO EVIDENCE NEEDS TO BE THROWN OUT THIS MORNING

Yes siree, the euro evidence appears to be skewed this morning and snow totals will be going down. The 12+ inches looks more like 3-6 inches or even less this morning. As I said this in my earlier posts-this time of the year it is all about potential. In another 24-36 hours any model evidence to be presented against the groundhog will be useless and the case will have to be ride on its dopplar radar merits and the water vapor imagery. A winter weather advisory still looks good at this time so the groundhog may just get off with a slap on the wrist and probation if this trend continues.

Thursday, March 17, 2016

THE GROUNDHOG HAS NOW BEEN OFFICIALLY CHARGED WITH HOLDING TOP SECRET E-MAILS ON HIS SERVER

Yep, criminal charges were brought forth this morning against the groundhog. After waiving his rights at the preliminary hearing earlier this morning, he posted bail of one million dollars and now is located at his underground lair awaiting trial. He is currently on a suicide watch as well as he maybe buried within his underground lair for a few days. We continue to watch for future changes.


The models are indicating my worst fears, a significant snow event is unfolding as I explained in my blog on Monday and for Rick-- a plowable event. Still to early to call exact snow  amounts but my first initial call of  12+ inches maybe close if the models come to agreement by Friday evening. The potential for a winter storm watch or  advisory(if the amounts are less)to be issued Saturday morning exists at this time.

The media is already playing into the hype and so are some of the weather outlets. I rather wait for additional model runs to confirm my approximate snow accumulation at this time. To suffice to say that brining of the roads will take place Saturday afternoon or Sunday morning as salt will work well initially to keep the snow off the pavement. My biggest concerns is that blooming bulbs will be hurt or destroyed with the snow accumulation if the snow  is greater than 8+ inches. The snow will be good for the grass as everything will green after it starts melting with the high nitrogen levels in the snow pack. Snows greater than 12+ inches will cause power outages in rural areas from tree branches breaking from the weight of the heavy snow and budding trees maybe damaged as well. Poconos could be hit real hard with this storm event.

This event will be a picturesque winter scene event with the dollar size snowflakes sticking to all of the vegetation. Have your cameras ready. Lastly, I will keep you updated as the predicted snow amounts will fluctuate as the storm gets stronger. Expect some wind as well. The real kicker will be the snow will be real wet, so take it easy shoveling and admiring  the big snow flakes as they fall.


Monday, March 14, 2016

OK, THE RUMOR MILL HAS OFFICIALLY STARTED-THE GROUNDHOG MAY HAVE LIED AND DELETED TOP SECRET E-MAILS ON HIS SERVER

Yes, I mentioned in several facebook postings a couple of days ago about the POTENTIAL  for a winter storm on the first day of Spring. The models are starting to agree on a some type of winter storm but in my professional opinion it is still a long shot. But if the storm does come together with all of the right ingredients and timed to start snowing right at sunset into the night, it can be a whopper of a storm with 12+ inches of very wet heavy snow with local power outages. Its still way to early to call exact amounts but this may end up being more of an elevation snow where the ridge tops along South Mountain, Blue Mountain and the Poconos receive the heavier accumulating snow and the valleys get snow melting on the ground as soon as it hits and only sticks to the grass.- Sorry plow guys.  But we will see and I will keep you up to date on any changes. I just would not put away the snow blowers or shovels just yet.

Wednesday, March 2, 2016

MAYBE A PLOWABLE SNOW EVENT FRIDAY?

The snow weenie in me is jumping up and down but I have learned over the month of February not get my hopes up too high. It will start snowing Thursday night into Friday. How much you say? My best guess at this point is 2-4 inches- staying on the low side this time of 3 inches. But there are some variables that quickly make this a 6+ snow event if they all come together just right.

First, it is snowing at night. Given the sun angle having an effect on snowfall during the day in March, the snow if falling heavily can start accumulating on the roads and parking lots since it is starting at night. Once the ground is cold and untreated, the snow can pile up in a hurry. This would be a good time where brining of the roads should be done and you should see this tomorrow afternoon throughout your travels in the LV.

Secondly, the storm is a clipper type of storm which redevelops off the east coast. Depending on the exact track, we can get only 2" or more than 6" of snow. This will not happen until the last minute, so it is difficult for me to say with confidence at this time the exact amount.

Lastly, the speed of the storm and as it redevelops along the coast is a major concern. Any slower and the snow amounts can jump significantly in a hurry. This is one of those type of storms that can surprise everyone when the wake up in Friday morning. As the storm develops, it could be actually be snowing harder during the Friday morning than many forecasters have anticipated. There will be no sleet or ice in this storm event.

Be prepared for winter weather advisories to be issued tomorrow but if the models change at the last minute (especially the NAM model), these advisories could be changed to winter storm watch or warnings. Just be on guard. Fridays morning commute could be tricky if the roads are not treated as I stated earlier.

There is another snow chance Saturday into Sunday but that is clearly dependent on what this snow event does.

For you Spring Lovers- get out your shorts again. By this time next week we will be approaching 70 degrees if not warmer.