Monday, November 14, 2016

SO YOU THINK WINTER WILL NEVER COME?

I said in my last blog about the chance of a November snow and getting cold. Sunday night may be the first of many cold spells coming up with a chance of the white stuff mixing with rain in the Lehigh Valley and accumulating snow in the Poconos. What is my winter outlook?

Snows will be abundant with the ground being white most of the winter. Above average snowfall is expected. The first accumulating snow will happen before  Pearl Harbor Day (Dec 7) in this weak La Nina year.  We will see many cloudy days with one rain/snow storm after another. Many of the snow cutoff lines will run through Montgomery County  or what I call the Fall line (South Mountains) this winter. I do see a significant amount of ice storms this year as warm fronts will be blazing through our area. It will be cold- below normal starting in early December. This will be the talk of the town.

What I do hope to see is significant rains followed by heavy snows, otherwise we are in deep do do and will be in a Drought emergency by Christmas. Lets hope for a big Christmas snow this year- we are way overdue for one.

I will keep you on top of the winter storms as much as possible but lets be realistic this year. Many of the storms in a LaNina year are hard to predict snow vs rain as the cutoff line is very close to the Lehigh Valley. Hopefully we will get the cold to go along with the precip this year. 





Thursday, November 3, 2016

PADEP FINALLY ISSUES DROUGHT WARNING

What I have been saying since April has finally been issued today. We are officially under a drought warning and IMHO in a Drought emergency. The Little Lehigh Creek base elevation only has to drop one more foot and the stream will be dry from Willow RD to Rt 100. That has not happened since 1966. The groundwater table is  already in drought emergency status. This is a serious drought as even demonstrated by the 50 acre corn fire last week. LCA should be cutting off withdrawals to the wells next to the Little Lehigh Creek stream as this drought is becoming a watershed issue and just no ta stream base flow issue.

Many people have been asking me about this winter. Cold will be the dominate feature this winter with well below temps for late December into January. Normal snowfall events are expected with the first accumulating snowfall between Thanksgiving and December 7. There will be a real good chance of some 8+ snowstorms this winter unlike the 30" and done storm like last year. Expect  a serious ice storm this year with the colder temps.